Statistical flags indicate unusual patterns — not proof of fraud or wrongdoing. Read our methodology

Tennessee Department of Children's Services

Public Health or Welfare·Nashville, TN·NPI: 1124494059SharePrint Report

Red Flags Explained

Each flag represents a statistical test that identified unusual billing patterns. Here's what each flag on this provider means in plain English:

Billing Swing

Billing Swing means this provider's total billing changed dramatically from one year to the next — increasing or decreasing by more than 200% with over $1M in absolute change. This could indicate a change in practice scope, a billing scheme ramping up, or legitimate growth.

Explosive Growth

Explosive Growth means this provider's billing increased by more than 500% year-over-year. While rapid expansion can be legitimate, this pattern has been observed in fraud schemes that ramp up billing quickly before detection.

Single-Code

Single-Code Billing means this provider bills almost exclusively for one or two procedure codes despite high total volume. Legitimate specialists may focus on specific codes, but extreme concentration can indicate a scheme billing repeatedly for the same service.

Unusually High Spending

Unusually High Spending means this provider's total Medicaid payments are significantly above the median for their specialty. This doesn't necessarily indicate fraud — high volume practices and those serving complex populations may legitimately bill more.

Spending Spike

Spending Spike means this provider experienced a dramatic, sudden increase in billing over a short period. Legitimate causes include new contracts or expanded services, but this pattern also appears in billing fraud ramp-ups.

These flags are statistical indicators only. Many flagged providers have legitimate explanations for their billing patterns. Learn more about our methodology.

Advanced Detection Signals

Additional statistical tests from advanced fraud detection methods

Change PointBilling shifted 4.6x in 2019-12
ConcentrationHHI: 1 on 1 codes

These signals use advanced statistical methods including digit distribution analysis, change-point detection, and market concentration metrics. Learn more.

Risk Assessment

Extreme procedure concentration — 100% of all billing flows through a single code (T2023).

This is a statistical summary, not an accusation. See our methodology.

Compared to Public Health or Welfare Peers

Total spending distribution among 17 providers in this specialty

P25MedianP75P90

This provider's total spending of $781.0M is at the 75th percentile among 17 Public Health or Welfare providers.

Active Billing Period:2019-072024-11(65 months)

Extreme procedure concentration — 100% of $781.0M billed through a single code

Total Paid

$781.0M

$780,976,224

Total Claims

911K

Beneficiaries

878K

1.0 claims/patient

Avg Cost/Claim

$857

#52 of 618K providers by total spending(top <0.1%)

🔍 Analysis

Provider Overview

Tennessee Department of Children's Services is a Public Health or Welfare provider based in Nashville, TN. From the 2018–2024 period, this provider received $781.0M in Medicaid payments across 911K claims.

Important Context

  • ℹ️This is a government entity that may serve as a fiscal agent for large populations. Government providers often bill at high volumes due to the scale of public programs they administer.

Why This Matters

This provider received $781.0M in taxpayer-funded Medicaid payments — enough to fund healthcare for approximately 97,622 Medicaid beneficiaries for a full year at average per-enrollee costs.

710% growthsince first billing year

Monthly Spending Trend

Yearly Spending

2019
$18.5M
+769%
2020
$160.6M
-1%
2021
$159.1M
-14%
2022
$136.8M
+14%
2023
$156.2M
-4%
2024
$149.7M

Procedure Breakdown

Cost per claim compared to national benchmarks

This provider bills for 1 distinct procedure code. The top code (T2023 (Community transition, waiver; per service)) accounts for 100% of total spending.

T2023Top 10%

Community transition, waiver; per service

$781.0M

911K claims · 100.0%

Your Cost: $857.43/claim|Median: $300.13
2.9× median